It's pretty obvious that the group is on the right track. Rolling to see what, whom, and how Kel will find at the end of the path. I'll go from the results of the roll I get.
Edit:
38, barely a success.
The doctor is found, and he is still at the camp. The downside is that he is surrounded by a few pirates, just as Lorcan predicted. But it was planned, and "barely a success" is worse than planned. Hence Kel gets spotted, and the pirates point their guns at him.